???? 據(jù)石油新聞2021年4月13日?qǐng)?bào)道,由于歐佩克及其盟友計(jì)劃在未來(lái)幾個(gè)月里向市場(chǎng)釋放更多原油供應(yīng),歐佩克4月13日上調(diào)了其對(duì)今年全球石油需求的預(yù)期。
????在4月13日發(fā)布的備受關(guān)注的月度石油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告中,歐佩克將其對(duì)全球石油需求的預(yù)測(cè)從3月份的估計(jì)上調(diào)了19萬(wàn)桶/天,預(yù)計(jì)今年全球石油日均消費(fèi)量將達(dá)到9646萬(wàn)桶,理由是經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激計(jì)劃和進(jìn)一步放松COVID-19封鎖措施。
????歐佩克在報(bào)告中預(yù)計(jì)今年全球石油日需求將增長(zhǎng)595萬(wàn)桶,而今年3月的預(yù)測(cè)為589萬(wàn)桶。
????就在兩周前,在歐佩克+技術(shù)委員會(huì)一些成員的壓力下,歐佩克把今年全球石油需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)測(cè)下調(diào)了約5%,至560萬(wàn)桶/天,這些成員支持維持緊張的生產(chǎn)配額。
????歐佩克及其合作伙伴最終在4月1日突然同意放寬配額,在7月前每天向市場(chǎng)增加供應(yīng)200多萬(wàn)桶石油,寄希望于全球經(jīng)濟(jì)更強(qiáng)勁的復(fù)蘇。
????歐佩克+聯(lián)盟將在5月份將總產(chǎn)量上限提高35萬(wàn)桶/天,6月份再提高35萬(wàn)桶/天,7月份再提高44.1萬(wàn)桶/天。
????與此同時(shí),沙特阿拉伯將在5月、6月和7月分別削減25萬(wàn)桶/天、35萬(wàn)桶/天和40萬(wàn)桶/天的配額,此前沙特一直在配額之外額外削減100萬(wàn)桶/天以幫助支撐市場(chǎng)。
????李峻 編譯自 石油新聞
????原文如下:
????OPEC raises 2021 oil demand forecast with more supply on the way
????OPEC has increased its oil demand outlook for 2021 just as the bloc and its allies plan to unleash more crude supplies over the next few months.
????In its closely watched monthly oil market report released April 13, OPEC raised its demand forecast by 190,000 b/d from its March estimate, expecting consumption to average 96.46 million b/d this year, citing economic stimulus programs and a further easing of COVID-19 lockdown measures.
????Year on year, global oil demand was projected to grow 5.95 million b/d in 2021, compared with the 5.89 million b/d forecast in March.
????only two weeks ago, OPEC cut its 2021 oil demand growth forecast by about 5% to 5.6 million b/d after pressure by some members of an OPEC+ technical committee who favored maintaining tight production quotas.
????OPEC and its partners ended up abruptly agreeing April 1 to loosen their quotas and add more than 2 million b/d into the market by July, banking on a more robust recovery for the global economy.
????The OPEC+ alliance will raise its collective output caps by 350,000 b/d in May, another 350,000 b/d in June, and 441,000 b/d in July.
????At the same time, Saudi Arabia, which has been cutting an extra 1 million b/d on top of its quota to help bolster the market, will unwind it by 250,000 b/d in May, 350,000 b/d in June and 400,000 b/d in July.
免責(zé)聲明:本網(wǎng)轉(zhuǎn)載自其它媒體的文章,目的在于弘揚(yáng)石化精神,傳遞更多石化信息,并不代表本網(wǎng)贊同其觀點(diǎn)和對(duì)其真實(shí)性負(fù)責(zé),在此我們謹(jǐn)向原作者和原媒體致以敬意。如果您認(rèn)為本站文章侵犯了您的版權(quán),請(qǐng)與我們聯(lián)系,我們將第一時(shí)間刪除。