據(jù)路透社4月15日東京報道，隨著主要經(jīng)濟(jì)體從疫情中復(fù)蘇，國際能源機(jī)構(gòu)(IEA)和其他機(jī)構(gòu)上調(diào)了對石油需求的預(yù)測，期貨價格此前跳漲后周四油價走低，但保持在近一個月高位。

　　截至格林尼治標(biāo)準(zhǔn)時間0129，布倫特原油下跌21美分，跌幅0.3%，至每桶66.37美元，周三上漲4.6%，收于3月17日以來最高水平。

　　美國西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油期貨下跌25美分，跌幅0.4%，至每桶62.9美元，前一交易日上漲4.9%。

　　美國能源情報署(EIA)周三表示，上周美國原油庫存減少590萬桶，是分析師預(yù)期的減少290萬桶的兩倍以上。東海岸原油庫存創(chuàng)歷史新低。

　　"我們認(rèn)為，隨著未來幾個月煉油廠運行量將大幅上升，即便考慮到看跌風(fēng)險，仍會出現(xiàn)強勁的庫存抽水，"花旗研究分析師在一份報告中表示。

　　EIA報告稱，作為美國燃料消費指標(biāo)的汽油供應(yīng)量上周增至890萬桶/日，為8月以來最高水平。

　　據(jù)IEA月報顯示，在2020年因疫情肆虐導(dǎo)致需求蒸發(fā)后，全球石油供需將在今年下半年重新平衡。

　　屆時，生產(chǎn)商可能需要再增加200萬桶/日的產(chǎn)量以滿足需求。

　　石油輸出國組織(OPEC)本周上調(diào)了對今年全球石油需求的預(yù)測，該組織一直與包括俄羅斯在內(nèi)的其他產(chǎn)油國同步保持供應(yīng)。

　　該組織表示，OPEC預(yù)計需求將比上月的預(yù)測增加7萬桶/日，2021年全球需求可能增加595萬桶/日。

　　沈韓曄 摘譯自 路透社

　　原文如下：

　　Oil price holds near one-month highs as demand forecasts raised

　　Oil prices were lower on Thursday though holding near one-month highs after futures jumped in the previous as the International Energy Agency (IEA) and others upgraded forecasts for oil demand as major economies recover from the pandemic.

　　Brent crude was down by 21 cents, or 0.3%, at $66.37 a barrel by 0129 GMT, after gaining 4.6% on Wednesday and closing at the highest since March 17.

　　U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures dropped 25 cents, or 0.4%, to $62.9 a barrel, having risen 4.9% in the previous session.

　　U.S. crude inventories were down by 5.9 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, more than double analysts' expectations for a 2.9 million-barrel decline. East Coast crude stocks hit a record low.

　　"We see robust stock draws even after factoring in bearish risks as refinery runs are set to rise sharply in the coming months," Citi Research analysts said in a note.

　　Gasoline supplied to the market last week, an indicator of U.S. consumption of the fuel, increased to 8.9 million barrels per day (bpd), the highest since August, the EIA report said.

　　Global oil demand and supply are set to be rebalanced in the second half of this year after the evaporation of demand in 2020 as the COVID-19 pandemic raged, according to the IEA's monthly report.

　　Producers may then need to pump a further 2 million bpd to meet the demand.

　　The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), which has been with holding supply in tandem with other producers including Russia, this week raised its forecast for global oil demand this year.

　　OPEC expects demand to rise by 70,000 bpd from last month's forecast and global demand is likely to rise by 5.95 million bpd in 2021, it said.

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