據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)4月16日消息:俄羅斯副總理亞歷山大·諾瓦克表示,按照本月早些時(shí)候部長(zhǎng)們達(dá)成的協(xié)議,歐佩克+聯(lián)盟將在5月至7月期間逐步放松集體減產(chǎn)。
俄羅斯是歐佩克+聯(lián)盟的主要合作伙伴,決定與以沙特阿拉伯為首的盟國(guó)一起,在截至7月的未來三個(gè)月中,將集體減產(chǎn)幅度降低100多萬桶/天。
4月初,歐佩克+決定在5月和6月分別將集體石油產(chǎn)量提高35萬桶/天,7月將提高40萬桶/天以上。此外,沙特阿拉伯還將在未來幾個(gè)月內(nèi)逐步放寬100萬桶/天的額外單邊減產(chǎn),從5月和6月每月增產(chǎn)25萬桶開始。
在歐佩克+會(huì)議就這些參數(shù)達(dá)成一致之前,諾瓦克表示,自3月會(huì)議以來,全球石油市場(chǎng)的形勢(shì)已有所改善。俄羅斯首席石油外交官表示,全球石油市場(chǎng)仍存在許多不確定因素,尤其是在歐洲,但他指出,目前市場(chǎng)上仍存在200萬桶/天的短缺。
諾瓦克在會(huì)議上還表示,預(yù)計(jì)今年全球石油日需求將比去年增加500萬桶至550萬桶。
本周,歐佩克上調(diào)了全球需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期,國(guó)際能源署(IEA)也上調(diào)了全球需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)期,這讓市場(chǎng)看到了需求將在今年晚些時(shí)候強(qiáng)勁反彈的希望,并抵消了上半年因歐洲和主要石油進(jìn)口國(guó)印度病例激增和封鎖而出現(xiàn)的疲軟。IEA預(yù)計(jì),2021年石油需求將比2020年增加570萬桶/天,并將其預(yù)測(cè)上調(diào)23萬桶/天,以考慮到更好的經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè)和強(qiáng)勁的即時(shí)指標(biāo)。
馮娟 摘譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)
原文如下:
Russia: OPEC+ To Gradually Ease Production Cuts In May-July
The OPEC+ alliance will gradually ease the collective production cuts between May and July, as the ministers agreed earlier this month, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters on Friday.
The decision was taken by OPEC+, and the gradual reversal of part of the cuts will take place between May and July, Novak said, as carried by the Russian news agency Interfax.
Russia, the key partner of OPEC in the OPEC+ group, decided together with its allies led by Saudi Arabia to ease the collective production cuts by over 1 million barrels per day (bpd) over the next three months to July.
In early April, OPEC+ decided to gradually increase collective oil production by 350,000 bpd in each of May and June and by more than 400,000 bpd in July. Additionally, Saudi Arabia will also gradually ease its extra unilateral cut of 1 million bpd over the course of the next few months, beginning with monthly production increases of 250,000 bpd in each of May and June.
Before the OPEC+ meeting that agreed on these parameters, Novak said that the situation on the global oil market had improved since the March meeting. There are still many uncertainties on the global oil market, especially in Europe, Russia’s top oil diplomat said, but noted that there is currently a deficit of 2 million bpd on the market.
Novak also said at that meeting that he expects global oil demand to increase by 5 million bpd-5.5 million bpd this year compared to last year.
This week, OPEC raised its global demand growth estimate, and so did the International Energy Agency (IEA), giving the market hope that demand would rebound strongly later this year and offset the weakness seen in the first half due to surging cases and lockdowns in Europe and major oil importer India. The IEA now sees oil demand rising by 5.7 million bpd in 2021 compared to 2020, revising up its estimate by 230,000 bpd “to take account of better economic forecasts and robust prompt indicators.”
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