據油價網5月21日消息稱，據阿布扎比國家石油公司(ADNOC)首席執行官Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber稱，石油需求已經增加到9500萬桶/天，市場正在重新平衡。

ADNOC幾乎所有的石油都來自于歐佩克最大的產油國之一——阿聯酋。

在哥倫比亞全球能源峰會上，Al Jaber還指出，自2015-2016年油價暴跌和行業低迷以來，石油和天然氣的投資在過去五年中有所下降，公司堅持資本紀律。

在最新的《石油市場月度報告》中，歐佩克預計今年第二季全球石油需求為每日9479萬桶，此前該組織將預估較4月預估下調30萬桶，因北美第一季需求低于預期，且新冠肺炎疫情在印度和巴西卷土重來。

然而，該組織將2021年第三季度和第四季度的石油需求預期分別提高了15萬桶/天和29萬桶/天。歐佩克最新報告稱，預計第三季度需求平均為9790萬桶/日，第四季度需求將進一步增至9974萬桶/日。歐佩克表示，今年下半年需求增加的原因是美國提供了積極的燃料數據，而"許多地區的疫苗接種計劃加速，讓人感到樂觀。"

總體而言，OPEC樂觀地認為，與2020年相比，疫苗接種計劃的加速和燃料需求的上升將使2021年全球平均石油需求增加595萬桶/天。

本周早些時候，俄羅斯副總理亞Alexander Novak表示，目前石油市場相當平衡，需求略微超過供應。

國際能源署（IEA）在5月份的報告中表示，去年過剩的石油庫存已基本耗盡，今年下半年需求的強勁反彈可能導致庫存進一步減少。盡管2021年上半年石油需求低于預期，但仍對全球石油需求保持樂觀預測。

曹海斌 摘譯自 油價網

原文如下：

UAE: Oil Demand Has Already Increased To 95 Million Bpd

Oil demand has already increased to 95 million barrels per day (bpd), and the market is rebalancing, according to the chief executive of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), Sultan Ahmed Al Jaber.

ADNOC pumps nearly all the oil in one of OPEC’s largest producers, the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

Speaking at the virtual Columbia Global Energy Summit, Al Jaber also noted—as carried by Reuters—that investments in oil and gas had declined in the past five years with companies sticking to capital discipline since the previous oil price crash and industry downturn in 2015-2016.

In its latest Monthly Oil Market Report, OPEC sees global oil demand at 94.79 million bpd in the second quarter this year, after revising down estimates by 300,000 bpd compared to its April estimate, due to lower-than-expected demand in North America in the first quarter and the COVID resurgence in India and Brazil.

However, the organization raised its outlook for oil demand for both the third and fourth quarters of 2021 by 150,000 bpd and 290,000 bpd, respectively. Third-quarter demand is expected to average 97.90 million bpd, and fourth-quarter demand is set to further rise to 99.74 million bpd, OPEC’s latest report said. The higher anticipated demand in the second half of this year is the result of positive fuel data from the United States, while “the acceleration in vaccination programs in many regions allows for optimism,” OPEC said.

As a whole, OPEC is optimistic that accelerating vaccination programs and rising fuel demand will raise average global oil demand by 5.95 million bpd in 2021 compared to 2020.

Earlier this week, Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said that the oil market is fairly balanced at present, with demand slightly exceeding supply.

The excess oil inventories of the past year have been all but depleted, and a strong demand rebound in the second half this year could lead to even steeper stock draws, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its report for May, keeping an upbeat forecast of global oil demand despite the weaker-than-expected first half of 2021.

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