據(jù)今日石油2021年6月3日報道，俄羅斯政府副總理亞歷山大· 諾瓦克說，國際能源署(IEA)叫停全球油氣開發(fā)的呼吁可能會把油價推高到每桶200美元。
諾瓦克是在6月3日在即將于8月舉行的歐佩克+會議的籌備工作中發(fā)表上述講話的。他表示：“如果IEA避免為新能源企業(yè)提供融資的決定得到實(shí)施，油價可能會達(dá)到每桶200美元。”
諾瓦克說，即將召開的歐佩克+8月會議將討論并確定8月或其他月份的石油產(chǎn)量，諾瓦克同時指出，今年和明年，石油公司將增加投資。
諾瓦克表示：“季節(jié)性石油需求將在第三季度上升。俄羅斯對目前的油價感到滿意。”諾瓦克還很快指出，如果油價過高，可能會迫使用戶轉(zhuǎn)向其他能源。
石油價格周三飆升，達(dá)到一年多來的最高水平，原因是歐佩克及其盟友決定堅(jiān)持逐步恢復(fù)供應(yīng)的計劃。
諾瓦克對IEA這份具有里程碑意義的報告發(fā)表評論之前，沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒-阿齊茲·本·薩勒曼王子表示，他對 IEA報告的評價是零顆星和差評，認(rèn)為它不值得考慮。
薩勒曼王子說：“我必須要表達(dá)我的觀點(diǎn)，我認(rèn)為IEA的凈零計劃是電影《愛樂之城》的續(xù)集，我干嗎要當(dāng)真呢?”
IEA的凈零路線圖得出結(jié)論說，如果世界要在未來30年里將碳排放削減到凈零，全球石油供應(yīng)將需要每年減少8%以上，從新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的每天1億桶減少到2050年的每天2400萬桶。這將意味著未來不應(yīng)該開發(fā)新的油氣上游項(xiàng)目。
李峻 編譯自 今日石油
原文如下：
Russia Deputy Prime Minister says IEA’s net zero plan could push oil price to $200
Russia Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak says the International Energy Agency (IEA)’s call for a halt to global oil and gas developments could push oil prices to $200 a barrel.
“If the international energy agency’s decision to avoid financing new energy ventures is implemented, oil prices may hit $200,” Novak said on Thursday as preparations get underway for the upcoming OPEC+ conference set for August.
He said the upcoming conference will address and finalize oil output for August or other months while pointing out that this year and next year, oil firms will increase their investments.
“Seasonal oil demand will rise in the third quarter,” he stated, adding that Russia is satisfied with the present oil price. Novak was quick to also point out that if oil prices are too high, this may force users to switch to other energy sources.
Novak’s remarks on the IEA’s landmark report follows comments from Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said he give the report Zero stars and two thumbs down and that it is unworthy of consideration.
“I would have to express my view that I believe it is a sequel of [the] La La Land movie,” Prince Abdulaziz told reporters Tuesday after OPEC+ ministers met to affirm production levels through July. “Why should I take it seriously?”
The IEA’s roadmap concluded that if the world were to slash carbon emissions to net-zero over the next three decades, global oil supplies would need to shrink more than 8% annually, down to 24 million b/d in 2050, from pre-pandemic levels of just above 100 million b/d. That would mean no new oil and gas upstream projects should be developed.
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