據油價網2021年7月19日報道，俄羅斯第2大石油公司盧克石油公司副總裁列昂尼德·費敦說，歐佩克可能會將其對全球石油市場的控制增加一倍，達到70%至80%。

　　據俄羅斯塔斯社報道，盧克石油公司負責戰略發展的副總裁費敦周一對記者表示，歐佩克將因默認而贏得其增加的份額。

　　由于氣候政策繼續對石油市場造成壓力，石油市場預計將萎縮，這將使歐佩克國家在全球石油市場的份額從目前的30%增加到近70-80%。

　　費敦沒有說明歐佩克達到這一市場份額的具體時間。

　　然而，據費敦說，盧克石油公司的活動不會受到影響。

　　費敦說，“一般來說，在任何發展方案下，盧克石油公司的活動都沒有受到任何限制。 即使按照國際能源署（IEA）的預測，石油供應將減少30%，歐佩克的市場份額仍將增加，屆時歐佩克將控制大約70 -80%的全球市場份額。”

　　俄羅斯在周日的歐佩克會議后表達了樂觀情緒，此次會議上調了包括俄羅斯在內的五個國家的基準產量水平。

　　根據新協議，從明年5月開始，俄羅斯的原油基線將調整為每日1150萬桶。

　　然而，基線并不能直接轉移到產量。

　　盡管如此，據《上游報》報道，俄羅斯副總理亞歷山大·諾瓦克仍然樂觀地認為，到明年5月調整基線時，俄羅斯的石油總產量將達到疫情爆發前的水平。

　　諾瓦克預計，在今年8月到明年5月之間，俄羅斯的石油產量將增加到1.54億桶(或2100萬噸)。

　　諾瓦克希望，基線的向上調整將重振涌入俄羅斯油氣行業的投資。

　　李峻 編譯自 油價網

　　原文如下：

　　OPEC Could Double Its Control Over Oil Market

　　OPEC could double its control over the oil market, to between 70% and 80%, according to Lukoil's Vice President.

　　OPEC will win its increased share by default, Leonid Fedun, Vice President for the strategic development of Lukoil, told reporters on Monday, according to Russian media outlet Tass.

　　As climate policies continue to weigh on the oil markets, the oil market is expected to contract—a situation that will increase OPEC countries' share of the global oil market from 30% today to nearly 70-80%.

　　Fedun did not specify the timing of this achievement.

　　Lukoil's activities, however, will remain unaffected, according to the VP.

　　"In general, we do not see any restrictions on the activities of our company under any development scenario. Even with the radical IEA scenario where oil supplies will decrease by 30%, we see that OPEC will simply increase its market share, from today to about 70 -80% of the market will be controlled by OPEC."

　　The Kremin expressed optimism after the OPEC meeting on Sunday that adjusted the baseline production levels upwards for five countries, including Russia.

　　Under the new deal, Russia's baseline level will be adjusted to 11.5 million barrels per day starting in May of next year, according to an OPEC press release.

　　baselines, however, aren't directly translatable to production.

　　Nevertheless, Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak remains optimistic that Russia's overall oil production will reach pre-Covid 19 levels by the time its baseline is adjusted, by May of next year, according to Upstream.

　　Novak sees Russia's production increasing to 154 million barrels (or 21 million tonnes) of oil between August of this year and May of next year.

　　Novak hopes that the upward adjustment of the baseline will reinvigorate the flow of investments pouring into Russia's oil and gas sector.

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