據油價網2021年8月6日報道,全球著名商業咨詢服務多元化供應商IHS Markit在本周的一項新研究中表示,在近期和長期內,天然氣都可能成為減排的支柱。
盡管許多分析師和凈零倡導者已經開始質疑天然氣在全球減排中的作用,但IHS Markit卻持有不同觀點。
根據這份題為《可持續的火焰:天然氣在凈零排放中的作用》的研究報告,在短期內,天然氣可以支持及早采取行動,取代污染更嚴重的煤炭和石油。 更重要的是,從長期來看,天然氣基礎設施可以作為運載低碳燃料的“預建”。
IHS Markit在一份新聞稿中表示:“天然氣基礎設施的固有多功能性——特別是它在未來可轉換為運載低碳燃料的能力——為天然氣長期成為‘脫碳的第二個支柱’創造了機會。”
IHS Markit說,從長遠來看,天然氣可以用于許多行業,包括發電、鋼鐵生產、卡車、氫氣生產和氨生產,以降低排放強度。
IHS Markit表示,盡管成本差別很大,但如果碳價格在每噸40美元至60美元之間,許多天然氣的擬議用途都是可行的,這將接近目前某些市場的水平。
IHS Markit全球和可再生天然氣副總裁Shankari Srinivasan表示:“改造基礎設施存在技術挑戰,但成本雖然很高,但仍低于建造全新設施。”
IHS Markit全球天然氣首席策略師邁克爾·斯托帕德表示:“可再生能源產能將繼續增長,電氣化將擴大覆蓋范圍,電池存儲的改進將使脫碳電網更加可靠。”
斯托帕德補充說:“但向低碳天然氣供應的過渡也將需要服務于電氣化和電線無法覆蓋的行業。”
李峻 編譯自 油價網
原文如下:
IHS Markit: Natural Gas Is Crucial In Energy Transition
Natural gas could become a pillar of emissions reduction both in the near and long term, IHS Markit said in a new study this week.
While many analysts and net-zero advocates have started to question the role of natural gas in global emissions reductions, IHS Markit has a different view.
According to the study, ‘A Sustainable Flame: The Role of Gas in Net Zero,’ natural gas could support in the short term early action of switching from the more polluting coal and oil. More importantly, in the longer term, gas infrastructure could act as a “pre-build” for carrying low-carbon fuels.
“The inherent versatility of gas infrastructure—particularly its ability to be converted to carry low-carbon fuels in the future—creates an opportunity for gas to be a “second pillar of decarbonization” over the long-term,” IHS Markit said in a press release.
In the long term, gas could be used in many sectors—including power generation, steel production, trucks, hydrogen production, and ammonia production—to cut emission intensity, the analytics firm said.
While costs would vary widely, many of the proposed uses of natural gas could be viable with a carbon price between $40 and $60 per ton, which would be close to levels already found in some markets today, according to IHS Markit.
“Repurposing infrastructure has technical challenges but the costs, while significant, are still lower than building entirely new facilities,” said Shankari Srinivasan, vice president, global and renewable gas at IHS Markit.
“Renewable capacity will continue to grow, electrification will broaden its reach and improvements in battery storage will make a decarbonized grid more reliable,” Michael Stoppard, chief strategist, global gas, IHS Markit, said.
“But the transition to a low-carbon gas supply will also be needed to serve the sectors beyond the reach of electrification and wires,” Stoppard added.
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