據(jù)中東油氣3月3日消息稱，天然氣出口國論壇(GECF)在周一發(fā)布的一份報(bào)告中稱，全球天然氣需求將從2020年的3.84萬億立方米增長到2050年的5.625萬億立方米，增幅為46%。

這份題為《2050年全球天然氣展望》的報(bào)告還發(fā)現(xiàn)，亞太地區(qū)、中東和非洲將是這一增長的最大來源。在亞太地區(qū)，GECF預(yù)計(jì)消費(fèi)量將增加近一倍。

“GECF的《2050年全球天然氣展望》強(qiáng)調(diào)，天然氣投資對全球能源系統(tǒng)的穩(wěn)定性至關(guān)重要。該公司預(yù)計(jì)，到2050年，上游和中游的總投資將達(dá)到8.7萬億美元。”

越來越多的國家和公司將天然氣作為石油的清潔替代能源，同時(shí)呼吁可持續(xù)發(fā)展。GECF表示，天然氣在全球能源結(jié)構(gòu)中的份額將從現(xiàn)在的23%增加到2050年的27%。

“環(huán)境政策是展望中預(yù)測的關(guān)鍵驅(qū)動(dòng)因素。在這種背景下，在堅(jiān)持天然氣是最清潔的碳?xì)浠衔锶剂系耐瑫r(shí)，展望將探索使其更清潔的技術(shù)狀態(tài)。”Hamel補(bǔ)充道。

該報(bào)告稱，中東地區(qū)將在未來天然氣供應(yīng)中發(fā)揮重要作用，占全球天然氣供應(yīng)增量的32%。

氫氣也被認(rèn)為是未來的燃料，中東國家對該技術(shù)下了很大的賭注。天然氣可以用來制造氫的一種形式——藍(lán)氫，而GECF預(yù)計(jì)，在其氫方案中，幾乎46%的氫生產(chǎn)將來自藍(lán)氫。

曹海斌 摘譯自 中東油氣

原文如下：

Natural gas demand will increase 46% in 2050, GECF says in new report

Global natural gas demand will rise by 46% from 3,840 billion cubic metres (bcm) in 2020 to 5,625 bcm in 2050, the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) said in a report released Monday.

The report, titled Global Gas Outlook 2050, also found that the Asia Pacific region, Middle East, and Africa would responsible for the biggest source of this growth. In the Asia Pacific region, GECF expects consumption to almost double.

“The GECF Global Gas Outlook 2050 underscores that investment in natural gas is critical for the stability of global energy systems. It projects that by 2050, total upstream and midstream investments will reach a hefty $8.7 trillion,”

Countries and companies have increasingly been turning to natural gas for energy as a cleaner alternative to oil and call while calls for sustainability increase. GECF says that natural gas’s share of the global energy mix will increase from over 23% now to 27% in 2050.

“Environmental policies are a key driver of the projections contained in the outlook. In this context, whilst upholding that natural gas is the cleanest of hydrocarbon fuels, the outlook explores the state of technologies that will make it even cleaner,” Hamel added.

The Middle East will play an important role in providing the gas of the future, delivering 32% of the global gas supply increase, according to the report.

Hydrogen has also been touted as a future fuel, with countries in the Middle East placing big bets on the technology. Natural gas can be used to create one form of hydrogen – blue hydrogen – and the GECF expects that in its hydrogen scenario, almost 46% of total hydrogen production will be sourced from blue hydrogen.