據今日油價網3月30日報道，歐佩克聯合技術委員會修正了對第一季度供需的估計。根據該委員會的估計，供應過剩已從此前估計的100萬桶/日縮減至60萬桶/日。

歐佩克聯合技術委員會于本周三召開會議，在周四歐佩克和非歐佩克部長級會議之前評估石油市場的發展。

路透社援引歐佩克的一份聲明稱，歐佩克秘書長巴爾金多(HE Mohammad Barkindo)呼吁成員國在明天的決定上“堅持到底”。

這是向石油市場發出的最新信號，表明明天的OPEC+會議很可能是短暫而平靜的，不會改變該組織5月份的生產計劃。

目前的計劃是，歐佩克將日產量增加43.2萬桶，以增加該組織的總生產配額，盡管有人呼吁歐佩克提高產量。

世界銀行(World Bank)周三表示，未來幾個月，海灣產油國可能將在遏制油氣價格波動方面發揮關鍵作用。

據路透社(Reuters)報道，世界銀行行長David Malpass在迪拜舉行的世界政府峰會上發表電視講話稱:“我們正在見證全球油氣市場的大規模重組，海灣合作委員會(GCC)的供應靈活性將在未來幾個月抑制市場波動方面發揮關鍵作用?！?/p>

海灣產油國沙特阿拉伯、阿聯酋和科威特都同時是海灣合作委員會和歐佩克成員國。

但歐佩克的挑戰依然存在。盡管歐佩克自去年8月以來每月都提高了產量目標，但一直未能達到新的月度目標，這讓市場擔心歐佩克是否有能力滿足當前的市場需求。

石油咨詢機構PetroLogistics周三表示，盡管歐佩克提高了配額，但3月前27天歐佩克原油出口量實際上仍在下降，平均每日出口量僅為2142.1萬桶，較2月整個月減少了363,000桶。

季廷偉 摘譯自OilPrice.com

原文如下：

OPEC Sees Smaller Oil Supply Surplus For Q1 2022

OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee has revised its estimates for Q1 supply and demand. In the Committee’s estimation, the supply surplus has shrunk to 600,000 bpd, versus its previous estimate of 1 million bpd.

OPEC’s Joint Technical Committee met on Wednesday to review oil market developments ahead of the OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting on Thursday.

OPEC Secretary General HE Mohammad Barkindo encouraged its members “to stay the course” when it comes to the group’s decision tomrorow, according to an OPEC statement cited by Reuters.

This is the most recent signal to the oil markets that tomorrow’s OPEC+ meeting is likely to be short and uneventful, resulting in no changes to the group’s production plans for May.

The current plan is for OPEC+ to add 432,000 bpd to the group’s overall production quota, despite calls on the group to boost its production more significantly.

The World Bank said on Wednesday that Gulf oil producers could play a critical role in squelching oil and gas price volatility in the coming months.

“We are witnessing a massive restructuring of the global oil and gas market, where the supply flexibility of the GCC will be critical in dampening volatility in coming months,” David Malpass said in a speech telecast at the World Government Summit in Dubai, according to Reuters.

Gulf producers Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Kuwait are all GCC and OPEC members.

But OPEC+’s challenges remain. While OPEC+ has raised its target production level every month since last August, it has been unable to hit its new monthly targets, leaving the market to worry whether OPEC+ has the capacity to meet the current market demands.

PetroLogistics said on Wednesday that OPEC’s crude oil exports actually fell during the first 27 days of March, averaging just 21.421 million barrels per day—down 363,000 bpd versus the full month of February, despite OPEC’s increased quotas.