據(jù)今日石油網(wǎng)2022年8月2日奧斯陸報(bào)道，總部位于奧斯陸的挪威著名獨(dú)立能源研究和商業(yè)情報(bào)公司雷斯塔能源公司（Rystad）8月2日在奧斯陸表示，隨著埃克森美孚公司及其合作伙伴在圭亞那快速推進(jìn)油氣勘探和開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目，到2035年前，圭亞那將躋身全球五大頂級(jí)海上產(chǎn)油國(guó)之列。

在最近發(fā)表的分析報(bào)告中，Rystad表示，圭亞那已經(jīng)證明了其成為全球強(qiáng)勁競(jìng)爭(zhēng)者的潛力，自2015年以來(lái)，圭亞那以112億桶油當(dāng)量的新發(fā)現(xiàn)油氣儲(chǔ)量在全球大多數(shù)海上發(fā)現(xiàn)的排行榜上高居榜首，占全球已發(fā)現(xiàn)新資源的18%，占全球已發(fā)現(xiàn)石油儲(chǔ)量的32%。

Rystad表示，其中新發(fā)現(xiàn)石油儲(chǔ)量占了96億桶，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過(guò)了排在第二位的美國(guó)，后者只有28億桶。Rystad指出，圭亞那斯塔布魯克區(qū)塊占了所有這些新油氣發(fā)現(xiàn)，但最近在其他地區(qū)的發(fā)現(xiàn)顯示了增長(zhǎng)潛力。 

Rystad表示，圭亞那目前預(yù)計(jì)該國(guó)的石油日產(chǎn)量在2035年前將達(dá)到170萬(wàn)桶，這還不包括尚未發(fā)現(xiàn)的新石油儲(chǔ)量，這將使圭亞那成為全球最大的海上石油生產(chǎn)國(guó)名單上的第4位。按照這個(gè)速度，圭亞那超越了美國(guó)、墨西哥和挪威。 

今年早些時(shí)候，Rystad拉丁美洲分析師Sofia Forestieri表示，圭亞那有望成為世界第二大深水石油生產(chǎn)國(guó)。Rystad預(yù)計(jì)屆時(shí)唯一能超過(guò)圭亞那的深水石油生產(chǎn)國(guó)是巴西，巴西屆時(shí)的石油日產(chǎn)量將接近500萬(wàn)桶。

圭亞那的石油開(kāi)采期將比許多其他深水石油生產(chǎn)國(guó)的石油開(kāi)采期更長(zhǎng)，這主要取決于兩個(gè)因素——質(zhì)量和生產(chǎn)成本。  

到2027年前，埃克森美孚公司在圭亞那將擁有120萬(wàn)桶/天的石油生產(chǎn)能力，并預(yù)計(jì)在未來(lái)10年內(nèi)，圭亞那近海可能有多達(dá)10艘浮式產(chǎn)油、儲(chǔ)油和卸油（FPSO）船投產(chǎn)。 

埃克森美孚公司旗下的子公司埃索勘探與生產(chǎn)圭亞那有限公司（EEPGL）也計(jì)劃在未來(lái)六年內(nèi)鉆取60口勘探井，這個(gè)鉆井計(jì)劃目前正在等待監(jiān)管部門(mén)的批準(zhǔn)。 

李峻 編譯自 今日石油網(wǎng)

原文如下：

Guyana will be among the top five elite global offshore producers by 2035 – Rystad Energy

With ExxonMobil and partners fast-tracking exploration and development projects in Guyana, the country is set to rank in the top five-list of elite global producers by 2035. This is according to Rystad Energy, an independent energy research and business intelligence company headquartered in Norway.

In its recent analysis, Rystad said Guyana was already proving its potential to be a fierce global competitor as it emerged at the top of the leaderboard for most offshore discoveries since 2015 with 11.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, amounting to 18% of discovered resources and 32% of discovered oil.

Of that total, Rystad Energy said a whopping 9.6 billion barrels consist of oil, far outpacing the United States in second place, with a comparatively small 2.8 billion barrels. It notes that the Stabroek block accounts for all of these finds, but recent discoveries in other areas show the potential for growth elsewhere.

The Norwegian group said Guyana is now forecast to produce 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil by 2035 – not accounting for as-yet undiscovered volumes – propelling the country to the fourth position on the list of the largest global offshore oil producers. At that pace, the country leapfrogs the US, Mexico and Norway.

Earlier this year, Rystad Energy’s Latin America analyst, Sofia Forestieri, said that Guyana was on track to become the second largest deepwater producer in the world. The only deepwater producer Rystad Energy expects to be above Guyana by then is Brazil, that will be producing close to 5 million barrels of oil per day.

And Guyana’s oil is set to outlast that of many other deepwater producers because of two main factors – quality and cost to produce.

Exxon will have the capacity to produce 1.2 million bpd by 2027 and sees potential for up to 10 floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessels offshore Guyana this decade.

ExxonMobil’s subsidiary, Esso Exploration and Production Guyana Limited (EEPGL) also plans to drill 60 exploration wells over the next six years, pending regulatory approvals.