???? 據(jù)鉆機(jī)地帶6月7日消息，油價(jià)自2018年10月以來(lái)首次上漲至每桶70美元，但隨后出現(xiàn)第二次下跌。
????原油期貨價(jià)格周二回落至每桶69美元以下。這反映了整體市場(chǎng)，由于近期各種資產(chǎn)的飆升引發(fā)了通脹擔(dān)憂，美元上漲，美國(guó)股票期貨回吐漲幅。
????盡管如此，石油市場(chǎng)對(duì)需求前景仍有信心，因?yàn)榧铀俳臃N疫苗放松了旅行限制。中東的迪拜基準(zhǔn)股指目前處于近一年來(lái)最強(qiáng)勁的現(xiàn)貨溢價(jià)走勢(shì)。現(xiàn)貨溢價(jià)(backwardation)是一種表明供應(yīng)緊張的市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)。
????今年，原油價(jià)格從疫情最嚴(yán)重時(shí)期至今漲勢(shì)數(shù)度停滯，但隨著全球總體需求持續(xù)改善，油價(jià)通常會(huì)回到上行軌道。然而，新冠疫情在亞洲和部分拉美國(guó)家的卷土重來(lái)提醒人們，復(fù)蘇將是坎坷的。
????在消費(fèi)改善的同時(shí)，歐佩克及其盟國(guó)正在向市場(chǎng)恢復(fù)部分停滯的供應(yīng)。該組織正在研究今年晚些時(shí)候需求增長(zhǎng)的前景。
????價(jià)格
????截至倫敦時(shí)間上午9點(diǎn)56分，7月份交貨的西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油(WTI)下跌0.7%，至每桶68.74美元。
????布倫特原油8月份結(jié)算價(jià)下跌0.7%，至每桶70.99美元.
????荷蘭銀行高級(jí)能源經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家漢斯?范克雅夫表示:“從需求的角度來(lái)看，有好消息，許多封鎖措施都得到了放松。但歐佩克+對(duì)增加產(chǎn)量和向市場(chǎng)出口猶豫不決。”
????盡管中東的市場(chǎng)結(jié)構(gòu)正在穩(wěn)固，布倫特原油和WTI原油的相應(yīng)指標(biāo)最近幾天有所緩和。不過(guò)，這兩個(gè)基準(zhǔn)仍處于現(xiàn)貨溢價(jià)結(jié)構(gòu)，表明供應(yīng)緊張。
????裘寅 編譯自 Rigzone
????原文如下：
????Oil Extends Decline as Rally Falters
????Oil fell for a second session after a rally that saw prices hit $70 a barrel in New York for the first time since October 2018 faltered.
????Futures dropped back below $69 a barrel on Tuesday. That mirrored wider markets where the dollar rose and U.S. equity futures pared gains as the recent surge in various assets brought on inflation concerns.
????Still, in the oil market there’s confidence in the demand outlook with accelerating vaccinations allowing people to travel more. The Middle Eastern Dubai benchmark is trading in its strongest backwardation -- a market structure that indicates supply tightness -- in almost a year.
????Crude’s advance from the worst of the virus has stalled a handful of times this year, but prices have usually returned to an upward track as overall global demand keeps improving. The Covid-19 comeback in Asia and parts of Latin America, however, is a reminder that the rebound will be bumpy.
????While consumption improves, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies are returning some stalled supply to the market. The group is looking at prospects for demand growth later this year .
????Prices
????West Texas Intermediate for July delivery fell 0.7% to $68.74 a barrel at 9:56 a.m. London time
????Brent for August settlement was down 0.7% at $70.99.
????“From a demand perspective there is good news with many lockdowns being eased,” said Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN Amro. “But OPEC+ is hesitant to add production and export to the market.”
????While the market structure in the Middle East is firming, the equivalent gauges for Brent and WTI have eased in recent days. Still, both benchmarks remain in a backwardated structure, indicating tight supply.
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