據7月22日MENAFN消息：隨著經濟從冠狀病毒危機中復蘇，油價周四上漲，延續前幾個交易日的強勁漲幅，因預期供應將在年底前趨緊。

　　格林尼治標準時間11：00，布倫特原油上漲77美分，至每桶73美元，漲幅1.1%，前一交易日上漲4.2%。美國西德克薩斯中質油(WTI)上漲81美分，漲幅1.15%，至每桶71.11美元，比前一天上漲4.6%。

　　摩根士丹利在一份報告中表示：“石油需求復蘇出現了一些短板，但這不太可能從根本上改變前景。”

　　歐佩克成員國和包括俄羅斯在內的其他產油國本周達成一項協議，即從8月至12月，每天增加40萬桶石油供應，以冷卻油價，滿足日益增長的需求。

　　但摩根士丹利表示，下半年需求仍將超過供應，導致布倫特原油價格在2021年剩余時間處于每桶70美元的中高位。

　　“最終，全球國內生產總值(GDP)復蘇可能會保持在正軌上，庫存數據繼續令人鼓舞，我們的余額顯示下半年趨緊，預計歐佩克將保持凝聚力，”報告稱。

　　美國能源情報署數據顯示，上周美國原油庫存意外增加210萬桶，至4.397億桶，為5月以來首次增加。美國是全球最大的石油消費國。

　　巴克萊分析師還預計，全球石油庫存將以快于預期的速度回落至疫情前的水平，促使該行將2021年油價預測上調3至5美元，至平均每桶69美元。

　　巴克萊周四在一份報告中稱：“盡管存在尾部風險，但供需動態表明，未來幾個月價格將緩慢走高。”

　　馮娟 摘譯自 MENAFN

　　原文如下：

　　Oil prices rise on signs of tightening supplies

　　Oil prices rose on Thursday, extending strong gains made in previous sessions on expectations of tighter supplies until the end of the year as economies recover from the coronavirus crisis, Trend reports with reference to Reuters.

　　Brent crude rose 77 cents, or 1.1%, to $73 a barrel at 1100 GMT, after rising 4.2% in the previous session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 81 cents, or 1.15%, to $71.11 a barrel, after rising 4.6% on Wednesday.

　　"Some soft spots have emerged in the oil demand recovery, but this is unlikely to change the outlook fundamentally," Morgan Stanley said in a note.

　　Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers including Russia, a group known as OPEC+, agreed this week on a deal to boost oil supply by 400,000 barrels per day from August to December to cool prices and meet growing demand.

　　But demand was still set to outstrip supply in the second half, leading Brent prices to trade in the mid to high-$70s per barrel for the remainder of 2021, Morgan Stanley said.

　　"In the end, the global GDP (gross domestic product) recovery will likely remain on track, inventory data continues to be encouraging, our balances show tightness in H2 and we expect OPEC to remain cohesive," it said.

　　Crude inventories in the United States, the world's top oil consumer, rose unexpectedly by 2.1 million barrels last week to 439.7 million barrels, up for the first time since May, U.S. Energy Information Administration data showed.

　　Barclays analysts also expected a faster-than-expected draw in global oil inventories to pre-pandemic levels, prompting the bank to raise its 2021 oil price forecast by $3 to $5 to average $69 a barrel.

　　"Notwithstanding the tail risks, supply-demand dynamics point to a slow grind higher in prices over the next few months," Barclays said in a report on Thursday.

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