據(jù)美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站2023年4月13日?qǐng)?bào)道,毫無(wú)疑問(wèn),隨著ChatGPT和人工智能的發(fā)展,它將影響石油和天然氣行業(yè)的就業(yè)。
總部位于休斯敦的Piper-Morgan Search公司創(chuàng)始人兼總裁格拉德尼·B·達(dá)羅告訴美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站,ChatGPT將減少對(duì)油氣行業(yè)人員數(shù)額的總體需求。
“要了解石油和天然氣行業(yè)將會(huì)發(fā)生什么,你只需看看最近《紐約時(shí)報(bào)》的一篇文章,文章介紹了人工智能在超過(guò)27.5萬(wàn)例乳腺癌病例中的表現(xiàn)——人工智能軟件與人類放射科醫(yī)生在作為乳房X光掃描的第二閱讀者時(shí)的表現(xiàn)相匹配。它還將放射科醫(yī)生的工作量減少了至少30%,該技術(shù)還將癌癥檢出率提高了13%,因?yàn)槿斯ぶ悄馨l(fā)現(xiàn)了更多的惡性腫瘤。”
“這只是人工智能對(duì)醫(yī)療保健行業(yè)影響的開始。從這篇文章中推斷,清楚地理解人工智能在醫(yī)療保健中的應(yīng)用是石油和天然氣行業(yè)的先導(dǎo)知識(shí),并不是什么很大的邏輯飛躍。”
達(dá)羅繼續(xù)說(shuō)道:“事實(shí)是,在能源行業(yè)中,任何需要解釋、測(cè)量或量化數(shù)據(jù)的事情,人工智能都將能夠更準(zhǔn)確、更快地完成所有這些工作——即使不是現(xiàn)在,但也很快,就在未來(lái)5到10年內(nèi)。”
這位Piper-Morgan Search公司的創(chuàng)始人強(qiáng)調(diào),他最近在美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站上發(fā)表了一篇文章,重點(diǎn)關(guān)注能源行業(yè)吸引足夠多年輕人的能力,當(dāng)時(shí)他評(píng)論說(shuō),石油和天然氣行業(yè)總是會(huì)想出合適的激勵(lì)措施來(lái)吸引新畢業(yè)生。
“我仍然相信這是真的。”達(dá)羅如是告訴美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站。
他補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“然而,隨著人工智能的出現(xiàn),在未來(lái)幾年,油氣以及其他行業(yè)雇傭擁有各層級(jí)經(jīng)驗(yàn)勞動(dòng)者的速度,都不會(huì)與過(guò)去歷史一樣。”
獵頭公司Sanford Rose Associates旗下的子公司HireStrong LLC首席執(zhí)行官兼技術(shù)招聘顧問(wèn)約書亞·梅在接受美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站采訪時(shí)表示,ChatGPT將影響油氣行業(yè)各個(gè)層面和領(lǐng)域的工作。
他說(shuō):“我相信這也會(huì)影響石油和天然氣行業(yè)的就業(yè)。”
“目前,ChatGPT主要用于為市場(chǎng)營(yíng)銷、招聘廣告、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)操作程序等目的創(chuàng)建內(nèi)容。你可以在ChatGPT中開始寫任何東西。”達(dá)羅補(bǔ)充道。
達(dá)羅說(shuō):“然而,你需要知道你在做什么,以便事后檢查提供的知識(shí)是否準(zhǔn)確和清理不實(shí)信息。ChatGPT不會(huì)取代大量的工作(可能是一些),而是讓我們每天的工作更容易。”
梅強(qiáng)調(diào),ChatGPT還可以幫助分析數(shù)據(jù)、創(chuàng)建公式和創(chuàng)建代碼,并補(bǔ)充說(shuō),所有這些都“可以影響石油和天然氣行業(yè)的就業(yè)”。
他說(shuō):“阻礙ChatGPT在油氣行業(yè)發(fā)展的唯一因素是油氣行業(yè)的人員不采用這種技術(shù)。”
“有些技術(shù)需要數(shù)年的時(shí)間才能被采用(讓我們面對(duì)現(xiàn)實(shí)吧,包括石油和天然氣行業(yè)在內(nèi)的許多公司仍然在使用2000年以前的過(guò)時(shí)系統(tǒng))。因此,雖然采用這種新技術(shù)的動(dòng)力可能會(huì)很慢,但現(xiàn)在采用這種技術(shù)的人將領(lǐng)先于競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手。”
OpenAI自稱是美國(guó)一家人工智能研究和部署公司,其使命是確保人工通用智能造福全人類,這家公司在2022年11月30日推出了ChatGPT。
去年11月30日,OpenAI在其網(wǎng)站上發(fā)布了一份聲明,稱ChatGPT是InstructGPT的兄弟模型,后者經(jīng)過(guò)訓(xùn)練可以在提示中遵循指令并提供詳細(xì)的響應(yīng)內(nèi)容。
李峻 編譯自 美國(guó)鉆井網(wǎng)站
原文如下:
Will ChatGPT Affect Oil and Gas Jobs?
There is absolutely no question that ChatGPT, and artificial intelligence, generally speaking, as it evolves, will affect oil and gas jobs.
That’s what Gladney B. Darroh, the founder and president of Houston based Piper-Morgan Search, told Rigzone, adding that “it will reduce the overall need for people”.
“To understand what’s coming to oil and gas you need look no further than a recent New York Times article about A.I.’s performance in more than 275,000 breast cancer cases – ‘A.I. software matched the performance of human radiologists when acting as the second reader of mammography scans. It also cut down on radiologist’s workloads by at least 30 percent and the technology increased the cancer detection rate by 13 percent because more malignancies were found by A.I.,’” Darroh noted.
“This is just the beginning for A.I.’s impact in the health care industry. Extrapolating from this article, it is not any great leap of logic to understand clearly how A.I. application in health care is a precursor for the oil and gas industry,” he added.
“The fact is, anything in the energy industry that requires data to be interpreted, measured, or quantified, A.I. will be able to do all of it more accurately and much faster – if not now, soon, as in the next five to 10 years,” Darroh continued.
The Piper-Morgan Search founder highlighted that he recently contributed to a Rigzone article focusing on the ability of the energy industry to attract enough young people, and noted that, at the time, he commented that the oil and gas industry would always come up with the right mix of incentives to get new grads in the door.
“I still believe this is true,” he told Rigzone.
“However, with the advent of A.I., in the years ahead the oil and gas industry and many others will not to need to hire people of any experience level at the same historical rate,” he added.
Offering his view, Joshua May, the CEO and Technical Recruiting Consultant for HireStrong LLC, an affiliate of Sanford Rose Associates, told Rigzone that ChatGPT will affect all jobs.
“I believe it will affect oil and gas jobs as well,” he said.
“Primarily, right now, ChatGPT is great for creating content to release for marketing purposes, job ads, standard operating procedures, etc. Anything written you can get a great outline started within ChatGPT,” he added.
“However, you need knowledge of what you are doing to go through after the fact and clean it up. ChatGPT will not replace jobs wholesale (some, maybe) but instead make the work we do every day easier,” he continued.
ChatGPT can also help analyze data, create formulas, and create code, May highlighted, adding that all of this “can affect oil and gas”.
“The only thing holding ChatGPT back from the oil and gas industry is the people in the oil and gas industry not adopting the technology,” he said.
“Some technology takes years to adopt (and let’s face it, many companies, including oil and gas, still use antiquated systems from before 2000). So while there may be a slow drive to adopt this new technology, those who do it now will be ahead of their competitors,” May added.
OpenAI, which describes itself as an A.I. research and deployment company whose mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity, introduced ChatGPT on November 30, 2022.
In a statement posted on its website on November 30 last year, OpenAI said ChatGPT is a sibling model to InstructGPT, which is trained to follow an instruction in a prompt and provide a detailed response.
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